climate change | Science Of Cycles News and Research

BREAKING NEWS: Earth Breaks Heat Record in 2016 and Why This Means Nothing

Last year, the Earth sweltered under the hottest temperatures in modern times for the third year in a row, US scientists said Wednesday, raising new concerns about the quickening pace of climate change.

Temperatures spiked to new national highs in parts of India, Kuwait and Iran, while sea ice melted faster than ever in the fragile Arctic, said the report by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Taking a global average of the land and sea surface temperatures for the entire year, NOAA found the data for “2016 was the highest since record keeping began in 1880,” said the announcement.

And there’s your answer to why this means nothing. The recording of temperature variations is barely over a hundred years old. This is “nothing” as it related to geological shifts which can be measured in thousands of years, millions of years, and even billions of years.

It is all relative to “cycles”. Short-term cycles, long-term cycles, medium-term cycles, cycles within cycles. Climate cycles can be associated to solar cycles, which in themselves provide short, medium and long-term cycles. Climate variance can also be associated to solar system cycles which are driven by interplanetary cyclical disturbances which include shifting variances in our galaxy Milky Way.

To no surprise, it does not stop there; unfortunately, our newest astronomical instruments do. Now perhaps you can see why I have turned my attention to my latest body of research titled “Science Of Cycles”. The further and more advanced our astronomical instruments are developed, the more we learn of the intricate web of causal effects identifying a relationship from our most distant galaxies, to our small little house called Earth which is located in our tiny neighborhood called Solar System, which is part of our city named Milky Way.

Another factor has been the Pacific Ocean warming trend of El Nino, which experts say exacerbates the planet’s already rising warmth. And guess what is the cause of El Nino’s, La Nina’s, and of course La Cucaracha. The cause is shifting jet stream and ocean currents. And what is the cause of this shifting? It is charged particles coming from our Sun and our galaxy Milky Way. When they hit the Earth’s magnetic field, it morphs around Earth like a cocoon which as an effect on our upper atmosphere.

The fact is Earth has seen much hotter and cooler temperatures in her recent and distant past. To take a tiny snippet of 120 years is more than dishonest; it is reckless and appears to be used by special interest. Another fact…is there really even one person on this Earth who is “pro” pollution? The greatest danger is for special interest to manipulate the populist in believing we can control cyclical heating and cooling trends. We cannot. There is only so much money in the world, and we should balance our efforts spending a significant portion on “preparation and preparedness”.

Global Warming Advocates Now Admit to ‘Cycles’ of Warming and Cooling Trends

A drought on the scale of the legendary Dust Bowl crisis of the 1930s would have similarly destructive effects on U.S. agriculture today, despite technological and agricultural advances, a new study finds. Additionally, warming temperatures could lead to crop losses at the scale of the Dust Bowl, even in normal precipitation years by the mid-21st century, University of Chicago scientists conclude.

The study was published on Dec. 12th in the science journal ‘Nature Plants’. It simulated the effect of extreme weather from the Dust Bowl era on today’s maize, soy and wheat crops. The lead authors are Michael Glotter and Joshua Elliott of the Center for Robust Decision Making on Climate and Energy Policy at the Computation Institute. “We expected to find the system much more resilient because 30 percent of production is now irrigated in the United States, and because we’ve abandoned corn production in more severely drought-stricken places such as Oklahoma and west Texas,” said Elliott, a fellow and research scientist at the center and the Computation Institute. “But we found the opposite: The system was just as sensitive to drought and heat as it was in the 1930s.”

The severe damage of the Dust Bowl was actually caused by three distinct droughts in quick succession, occurring in 1930-31, 1933-34 and 1936. From 1933 to 1939, wheat yields declined by double-digit percentages, reaching a peak loss of 32 percent in 1933. This historical warming trend had severe economic and societal consequences dramatically dropping the value of land throughout the Great Plains states and displacing millions of people.

In the eight decades since that crisis, agricultural practices have changed dramatically. But many technological and geographical shifts were intended to optimize average yield instead of resilience to severe weather, leaving many staple crops vulnerable to seasons of low precipitation and/or high temperatures. As a result, when the researchers simulated the effects of the 1936 drought upon today’s agriculture, they still observed roughly 40 percent losses in maize and soy yield, while wheat crops declined by 30 percent. The harm would be 50 percent worse than the 2012 drought, which caused nearly $100 billion of damage to the U.S. economy.

“We knew a Dust Bowl-type drought would be devastating even for modern agriculture, but we expected technological advancements to mitigate those damages much more than our results suggested,” said Glotter, a University of Chicago graduate student in geophysical sciences. “Technology has evolved to make yields as high as possible in normal years. But as extreme events become more frequent and severe, we may have to reframe how we breed crops and select for variance and resilience, not just for average yield.”

Strategies to avoid these agricultural crises and their severe ripple effects for global food security could include switching to more drought-resistant crops such as sorghum, moving wheat, soy and maize agriculture to northern U.S. states, or developing new strains of crops with higher heat tolerance. But none of these preventative efforts are cheap, and they may be impossible for developing countries to implement, the authors said.

“Cyclical warming trends is expected to alter the severity and frequency of future droughts. Understanding the interactions of weather extremes and a changing agricultural system is therefore critical to effectively prepare for and respond to the next Dust Bowl.”

(PART II) The Causes of Heating and Cooling of Earth’s Core and Climate Change

Ongoing studies supported by the NSF (National Science Foundation) indicate a connection between submarine troughs (rifts), Earth’s mantle, and Earth’s outer core. Furthermore, new research indicates the shifting of magnetic flux via Earth’s magnetic field, has a direct and symbiotic relationship to Earth’s outer core, mantle, lithosphere, and crust.

As a living entity, Earth fights for its survival. If internal or external events begin to throw Earth out of balance i.e. orbital, tilt, or magnetic alignment – it begins to correct itself. When oceanic tectonic subductions occur, it cools the mantle and outer core. To balance this shift in temperatures, the Earth’s core increases heat and as a result releases what is known as “mantle plumes”. These plumes filled with super-heated liquid rock float up to the ocean bottom surface.

This action both cools the outer core and heats the oceans. As a result of heated oceans, we get tropical storms and various forms of extreme weather. When troughs, subduction zones, and rifts shift, as a result of convection, earthquakes, tsunamis, and volcanoes occur.

This is to say, during solar maximum it was believed the solar radiation was creating super-heated hydrogen and oxygen atoms and thus generating a super-heated Meso/Thermosphere. In like, it was believed solar minimum would spawn the cooling of H and O atoms thus cooling this region.

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What makes this all work is the Earth’s magnetic field. Right now the magnetic field is weakening significantly. This will continue until it reaches zero point, at which time there will be a full magnetic reversal. Until this time, we will witness magnetic north bouncing in the northern hemisphere. Closer to the moments of a full reversal, we will see magnetic north drop down to/then below the equator.

As a result of a weakened magnetic field, larger amounts of radiation via charged particles such as solar flares, coronal mass ejections, gamma rays, and galactic cosmic rays – are more abundantly reaching Earth’s atmosphere and having a heightened reaction with Earth’s core layers. This is what causes looped reaction. Radiation heats the core layers, the outer core reacts by producing ‘mantle plumes’, which causes crustal fracturing, which then causes earthquakes, volcanoes, heated oceans – all of which cools the outer core.

What this adds up to is the natural cyclical mechanics identifying a coming magnetic reversal. We can expect to see the aurora borealis to shine its wonderment waves in the skies more often, and we can expect them to come further south with each coming few years. The FAA (Federal Aviation Administration) will need to double its staff over the next five decades, as they play “catch the bouncing ball” having to re-calibrate instruments more and more often as they vector in true-north as all GPS and Compass’s do their best to stay on target.

There Needs to be a Part – III COMING NEXT WEEK: “Magnetic Pole Reversal Happens All The (Geologic) Time”

I’ve been away from the family on a few occasions working with my Emergency Management Team dealing with a few natural disasters. Unfortunately, this dips into my regular ability to earn income. As most of you know I have two wonderful girls ages 8 and 4, and I’m feeling a bit guilty for not preparing to make sure they have a wonderful Christmas with toys and gifts under the tree.

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In my part-time volunteer work with EMO, when duty calls, I answer. It’s part of what I do on my chosen journey.

By you helping with keeping Science of Cycles up and running, on this occasion in kind of a indirect way, you will place a gift under the tree. Cheers, Mitch

New Study Indicates Many Scientists Clueless to Cause of Climate Cycles

Now, two first-of-their-kind studies provide new insight into the deep history of the Greenland Ice Sheet, looking back millions of years farther than previous techniques allowed. However, the two studies present some strongly contrasting evidence about how Greenland‘s ice sheet may have responded to past climate change – bringing new urgency to the need to understand if and how the giant ice sheet might dramatically accelerate its melt-off in the near future.

The two new studies were published in the journal Nature on December 8, including one led by University of Vermont geologist Paul Bierman. The other led by Joerg Schaefer of Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory and Columbia University.

Bierman and four colleagues – from UVM, Boston College, Lawrence Livermore Laboratory, and Imperial College London – studied deep cores of ocean-bottom mud containing bits of bedrock that eroded off of the east side of Greenland. Their results show that East Greenland has been actively scoured by glacial ice for much of the last 7.5 million years – and indicate that the ice sheet on this eastern flank of the island has not completely melted for long, if at all, in the past several million years. This result is consistent with existing computer models. Since the data the team collected only came from samples off the east side of Greenland, their results do not provide a definitive picture of the Greenland ice sheet.

The other study in Nature – led by Joerg Schaefer of Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory and Columbia University, and colleagues – looked at a small sample of bedrock from one location beneath the middle of the existing ice sheet and came to what appears to be a different conclusion: Greenland was nearly ice-free for at least 280,000 years during the middle Pleistocene – about 1.1 million years ago. This possibility is in contrast to existing computer models.

“These results appear to be contradictory” UVM’s Bierman says. He notes that both studies have “some blurriness,” he says, in what they are able to resolve about short-term changes and the size of the ancient ice sheet. “Their study is a bit like one needle in a haystack,” he says, “and ours is like having the whole haystack, but not being sure how big it is.”

Both Studies Analyze Cosmic Ray Bombardment in Bedrock

Both teams of scientists used, “a powerful new tool for Earth scientists,” says Dylan Rood, a scientist at Imperial College London and a co-author on the Bierman-led study: isotopes within grains of quartz, produced when bedrock is bombarded by cosmic rays from space. The isotopes come into being when rock is at or near Earth’s surface – but not when it’s buried under an overlying ice sheet. By looking at the ratio of two of these cosmic-ray-made elements – aluminum-26 and beryllium-10 caught in crystals of quartz, and measured in an accelerator mass spectrometer – the scientists were able to calculate how long the rocks in their samples had been exposed to the sky versus covered by ice.

(REPORT) IPCC Widens Scope to Climate Change Variables

Scientists have found a key indicator in determining whether the presence of carbon, found in the Earth’s mantle, is derived from continental crust – a step toward better understanding the history of crustal formation on Earth’s surface and the rate at which tectonic plates have moved throughout geologic time, which can be linked to the cooling of Earth’s mantle.

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Results of a new study published in the journal Nature Geoscience show evidence of varying ratios of boron isotopes in igneous rocks, known as carbonatites, of different ages. The research was led by Antonio Simonetti, associate professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences at the University of Notre Dame.

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Three theories exist regarding the source of carbon found within the Earth’s mantle: It is of primordial origin, formed during the creation of the planet 4.56 billion years ago; it is a result of planetary collision; or it had been present in marine environments or continental crust, and recycled back into the mantle in areas of subduction, where tectonic plates shifted, one diving beneath the other.

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When investigating the 5th IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) presented in 2014, it was clear they are paying attention to “preparedness” rather than prevention (mainly aimed at us stupid humans). So I would suggest, no matter how loud some scream “Look at science” one can comfortably say “I am”. Once this is established, we can more clearly see how true science has been kidnapped by politics.

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In addition, organic matter from dead organisms can also be incorporated into oceanic sediments. Ocean deposits are by far the biggest sink of carbon on the planet. Owing to its large reservoir of reactive carbon and the long timescale of its turnover, the ocean effectively controls atmospheric CO2 levels on the time scale of millennia.

bicarbonate-ions

It is the dynamic balance between the CO2 content of the atmosphere (via dissolution into ocean waters) and the biologically driven net transport of organic (dead plant and animal matter) and inorganic carbon (calcium carbonate) to the deep ocean (biological pump) which largely determines the atmospheric CO2 levels.

The processes of biogenic particle formation, modification and sedimentation which together constitute the biological pump are affected by atmospheric forcing, upper ocean physics and ambient chemical conditions, all of them expected to be modulated by future climate change. The biological pump therefore is subject to various positive and negative feedback processes.

Stay Tuned For More Upcoming……